In January 2025, just as Trump took office, I made a prediction in The First Signs That America’s Hungarian Transformation Has Begun:
Once a would-be dictator begins concentrating power, he enters a vicious cycle: the more power he grabs, the stronger the opposition grows, and the more insecure he feels — because a democratic leader who leaves office still lives in comfort, but a dictator who falls faces prison or death. So he grabs even harder.
At that point, his priorities change. The country’s interests take a back seat to the security of his own power. Anyone who opposes his power grab becomes a threat to his life and fortune; anyone who doesn’t oppose it — and especially anyone who helps it along — becomes his best friend.
…
China and Russia would love nothing more than to watch America slide into authoritarianism, so they will certainly extend a hand to an American dictator. And he, in turn — just as he changed his mind about ByteDance — will warm relations with Russia and China and build an alliance of dictators.
Hasn’t it come true?
Let’s take stock of what Comrade Vladimir Trump has accomplished in the first eight months of 2026. I guarantee that by the end, you will have no doubt who his allies are — and who his enemies are.
On China:
- Jan 13 — Export policy on H200-class chips, critical to the AI race, flipped from “presumption of denial" to “case-by-case review"
- Jan 22 — The TikTok deal closed: ByteDance kept roughly 20% of the equity and kept the algorithm
- Jan 23 — The National Defense Strategy declared, in writing, that America’s goal “is not to dominate China; nor is it to strangle or humiliate them"
- Feb 4 — An “excellent" phone call; Beijing’s readout has Trump saying “I want to see China succeed"
- Feb 8 — Jimmy Lai sentenced to 20 years — zero response from Washington
- Feb 10 — The DEA restored police-to-police cooperation with China’s Ministry of Public Security
- Feb 13 — The Pentagon yanked its “Chinese military companies" list update twice in two days (it would have added Alibaba, Baidu and BYD)
- Feb 20 — The Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs; the White House replaced them with a country-blind scheme under which China’s tariff burden fell more than anyone else’s on earth
- Feb 26 — Nvidia received its first license to export H200s to China
- Mid-year — Enforcement of the Uyghur forced-labor law quietly ground to a halt (customs seizures collapsed by 87%)
- May 12 — To Xi Jinping: “You’re a great leader… it’s an honor to be your friend"
- May 14 — Ten Chinese companies (Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, JD.com and others) cleared to buy H200s
- May 14 — “A constructive China–US relationship of strategic stability" written into the record; the White House readout never mentioned Taiwan at all
- May 15 — “I’m not looking to have somebody go independent"; called arms sales to Taiwan “a very good negotiating chip"
- May 15 — Human rights weren’t on the summit agenda; Jimmy Lai got one mention and was dropped
- May 18 — A US–China Board of Trade and Board of Investment established; a $30 billion mutual tariff-reduction framework agreed in principle
- May 19 — The $14 billion arms package for Taiwan frozen
- May 28 — US–China maritime military consultations resumed in Hawaii
- Jun 2 — The US Trade Representative formally asked industry which China tariffs to cut — the first exercise of its kind since 2018
- Jun 8 — CNOOC, COSCO and eight other firms removed from the “Chinese military companies" list
- Jun 16 — The words “Indo-Pacific" abolished: Indo-Pacific Command renamed back to Pacific Command
- Jun 20 — “You know who is very smart? President Xi of China"
- Jul 17 — Hong Kong sanctions dismantled wholesale: all 48 officials — including John Lee and Carrie Lam — removed from the SDN list; China’s Commerce Ministry called it “an important step in fulfilling the consensus reached in the trade talks"
- Jul 27 — Beijing announced that Washington had promised to cap replacement tariffs at 20%
- Aug 13 — America’s last aircraft carrier in the Western Pacific, the USS George Washington, pulled out and sent to the Middle East; Global Times celebrated a “zero-US-carrier zone"
- Aug 17 — The US–South Korea “Ulchi Freedom Shield" exercise gutted: eleven days cut to five, the entire counterattack phase cancelled
- Aug 19 — Taiwan Strait transits this term on track to be half of previous administrations’ (14, versus 32 under Biden)
- Aug 19 — The first H200 shipments landed in China: roughly ten thousand chips each for ByteDance and Tencent
And for America’s European NATO allies?
- Jan 5 — The Greenland crisis reignited: Trump again refused to rule out military force; Hegseth said the military option is “always on the table"; Trump: “One way or the other, we’re going to have Greenland"
- Jan 7 — Withdrawal from 66 international organizations and treaties in one sweep, including the UN climate treaty; Europe condemned “a new low"
- Jan 17 — 10% tariffs on eight European NATO allies (Denmark, the UK, Germany, France, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Finland), with a threat of 25% by June 1, “until a deal is reached for the complete and total purchase of Greenland"; the eight issued a joint protest
- Feb 5 & 19 — Open interference in an EU member state’s election: a full-throated endorsement of Hungary’s Orbán
- Feb 15 — At Munich, Rubio carried the National Security Strategy’s message, blaming Europe’s “civilizational decline" on the “climate cult" and “mass migration"; EU chief diplomat Kallas formally rejected the “civilizational erasure" thesis
- Feb 20 — Hours after the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs, a 10% global surcharge was imposed under Section 122 — denying Europe any relief from the ruling and knocking the legal foundation out from under the US–EU trade deal
- Mar 15 — For his war on Iran, Trump demanded that seven countries — most of them European — send warships to force open the Strait of Hormuz, warning “we will remember" those who refuse; EU leaders collectively refused
- Mar 17 — Rebuffed, he erupted: “We no longer ‘need,’ or desire, the NATO countries’ assistance — WE NEVER DID!"
- Apr 1 — Said he was “strongly considering" leaving NATO; Rubio said America would “re-examine" NATO’s value
- Apr 7 — Called NATO a “paper tiger" that Putin doesn’t fear; in the same breath, back to Greenland: “We want Greenland. They don’t want to give it to us. And I said, ‘bye bye'"
- May 1 — Retribution against allies who refused his war: ordered more than 5,000 troops out of Germany (“cutting a lot further than that"), threatened to pull troops from Italy and Spain (“Spain has been horrible" — Spain had refused base access, Italy had denied use of a Sicilian airbase)
- May 4 — Accused the EU of “not complying" with the Turnberry trade deal and threatened 25% tariffs on European cars; the Eurogroup president rejected the accusation and said “all options are on the table"
- May 14 — Cancelled the planned 4,000-troop deployment to Poland; the UK, Poland and Lithuania were told deliveries of American weapons would be delayed (the Iran war had drained the stockpiles)
- May 21 (collateral damage) — The Hormuz crisis drove up oil prices and inflation, forcing the EU to cut its 2026 growth forecast
- Jun 26 — Threatened 100% tariffs on European imports if Europe implemented digital services taxes
- Jul 8 — At the NATO summit in Ankara: “Spain is a terrible partner in NATO. They don’t participate. They don’t pay. I don’t want anything to do with Spain" — then, turning to Treasury Secretary Bessent: “Cut off all trade with Spain, please, including visits"
- Jul 24 — Launched a Section 301 investigation into the EU’s own tech laws, the DMA and DSA (after Google’s €890 million fine): “Europe is not a piggy bank"; the same day, threatened more tariffs to counter the EU’s “hefty fines" on American tech companies
- Jul 31 — Section 232 pharmaceutical tariffs took effect: the EU and Switzerland capped at 15% thanks to their deals; the UK facing 110% until it signs a drug-pricing agreement
- Aug 7 — Kept pressuring reluctant European governments to join a Hormuz naval coalition
- Aug 16 — Gutted the US–South Korea exercises and publicly praised Kim Jong-un; an EU official openly criticized his “attitude toward allies" — Europe saw its own future in what happened to Seoul
I trust that from these two long lists, you can see it plainly: Comrade Vladimir Trump has been hard-working. Quietly, comprehensively, and at a relentless pace, he is executing a 180-degree turn of the United States: dictatorial China is now his ally, and democratic Europe his enemy.
Now think about what he said just days ago: Kim Jong-un is his good friend who has never caused any trouble.
Bare in mind what Kim Jong-un actually is doing right now. Tens of thousands of his elite troops are fighting in the heart of European, above which his missiles are raining down. NATO allies — Germany, France, Britain, Poland — agree unanimously that Russia, with Kim’s full backing, has already started a hybrid war against Europe, and that a real shooting war is imminent.
Would you call a man who poses a mortal threat to your allies your good friend?
Who are China, Russia, North Korea and Europe to Comrade Trump — friend or enemy? Could it be any more obvious?
Only two years into his tenor, Comrade Trump has increased America’s debt from 36 trillion to 40. America’s financial collapse appears to be just around the corner. His big and beautiful tax cut and his war against Iran greatly accelerated the debt explosion.
Was it because he is an idiot? Even if you randomly pick your decisions, you can still get half of them right. How come everything Comrade Trump did was a stab at the most vulnerable spot of America?
I have read history, ancient and modern, Chinese and Western, and I follow world politics and military affairs closely. I have never seen such a meticulous fool.