On August 30, 2026, in my article “Putin Is Highly Likely to Attack a NATO Country," I wrote:
The best response would be for NATO to remain on the defensive outside Ukraine—shooting down Russian drones and missiles and repelling any Russian ground incursions—while going on the offensive in Ukraine by dramatically increasing both the quantity and quality of military assistance to Ukrainian forces.
If Putin’s attacks on NATO became sufficiently intense, NATO could directly deploy combat aircraft, and potentially even ground forces, to fight in Ukraine.
At that point, the question in the Ukraine war would no longer be whether Russian advances could be stopped. It would become a question of how long Ukraine would need to recover all of its occupied territory. Once Ukraine had recovered all of its lost territory, Putin’s incentive to provoke NATO would disappear.
About a month later, on September 24, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte put forward a strategy for countering Russian provocations that was exactly the same as mine:
NATO will remain a defensive alliance, will not strike first, and will defend every inch of NATO territory.
For every hybrid attack or similar provocation by Russia, NATO should respond by increasing financial and military assistance to Ukraine.
As I’ve said before, if you want to know the future, all you need to do is follow my articles. The vast majority of my 60 predictions over the past 14 years have come true.
